Lloyd Harris vs Sebastian BaezUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#139ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025 ·
hard
#50ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Harris L.
6-3 7-5 6-4
Baez S.
Harris L.
6763
Baez S.
3540

Lloyd Harris defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 7-5 6-4 in the US Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #50, defending last year's round of 64, but Lloyd Harris had been the form player, winning 9 of their last 10 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Lloyd Harris closed it out in three sets, 6–3 7–5 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
75%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
75
Break points saved·Even
89
86
Break points won·Dominant
12
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
46
64

Harris L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d) · Baez S.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw