Ajla Tomljanovic vs Renata ZarazuaMonterrey Round of 32

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 32
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 August 2025
hard
#83WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLL
Tomljanovic A.
4-6 6-3 7-6
Zarazua R.
Tomljanovic A.
46772
Zarazua R.
63611

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Renata Zarazua 4-6 6-3 7-6 in the Monterrey round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Renata Zarazua came in ranked #83, defending last year's round of 16. Ajla Tomljanovic extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-12Charleston 2R32clayAjla Tomljanovic6-1 6-1
2018-04-09BogotaR32clayRenata Zarazua1-6 6-4 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomljanovic A.Zarazua R.
26
Serve
22
52
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
51
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
57
Break points won·Even
92
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+84 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1639
5.7Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1663
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
99

Tomljanovic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zarazua R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 43%