Rafael Jodar vs Lucas PoullainHersonissos 4 CH Round of 16

Hersonissos 4 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#25ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 August 2025
hard
#423ATP
1295ELO
1286Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
Jodar R.
6-4 6-3
Poullain L.
Jodar R.
662
Poullain L.
430

Rafael Jodar defeated Lucas Poullain 6-4 6-3 in the Hersonissos 4 CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25.

Key context

  • Match story: Rafael Jodar closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Poullain L.

Poullain L.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Poullain L.
18
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
11
Break points saved·Dominant
91
31
Break points won·Dominant
71
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
12
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+587 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1286
10.0Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1295
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
3.0
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
1.6
Minutes 14d
8.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Jodar R.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast