Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Ajla TomljanovicMonterrey Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 16
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 August 2025
hard
#94WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Alexandrova E.
6-4 6-3
Tomljanovic A.
Alexandrova E.
662
Tomljanovic A.
430

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 6-3 in the Monterrey round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Ekaterina Alexandrova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-06-24EastbourneR64grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-2 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Tomljanovic A.
52
Serve
26
42
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
73
Break points won·Slight edge
98
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
61
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1723
6.2Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
97

Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tomljanovic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 43%