Pablo Carreno Busta vs Yoshihito NishiokaWinston-Salem Round of 64

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 64
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 17 August 2025
hard
#176ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
Carreno Busta P.
6-0 6-3
Nishioka Y.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Nishioka Y.
030

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 6-0 6-3 in the Winston-Salem round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-08-06Canada MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta6-0 0-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Nishioka Y.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Nishioka Y.
21
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
84
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Even
61
59
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+85 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1659
5.9Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1689
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.3
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast