Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Sebastian BaezWinston-Salem Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 16
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 17 August 2025
hard
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Van De Zandschulp B.
0-6 6-1 6-4
Baez S.
Van De Zandschulp B.
0662
Baez S.
6141

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Sebastian Baez 0-6 6-1 6-4 in the Winston-Salem round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in ranked #54, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Baez S.
41
Serve
5
43
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
77
87
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Clear edge
68
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
88
Tiebreaks·Even
81
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+2 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1709
5.3Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
1.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.3
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
95

Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast