Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro TabiloCancun CH Round of 16

Cancun CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#61ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$714kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 August 2025
hard
#31ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Tirante T.
6-2 6-4
Tabilo A.
Tirante T.
662
Tabilo A.
240

Thiago Agustin Tirante defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 6-4 in the Cancun CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Thiago Agustin Tirante claimed a first win over Alejandro Tabilo in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23SantiagoR16clayAlejandro Tabilo4-6 6-3 6-3
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroQFclayAlejandro Tabilo7-6(2) 6-7(6) 6-1
2022-01-31CordobaQ2clayAlejandro Tabilo6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tirante T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tirante T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tirante T.Tabilo A.
Serve
51
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Even
5.9
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
85
97
Break points won·Dominant
29
59
Deciding sets·Dominant
44
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
67
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1636
Surface ELO
6.8+114 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1819
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
2.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Tirante T.: 15 days rest · Tabilo A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast