Beibit Zhukayev vs Pablo Llamas RuizCancun CH Qualifying Round 2

Cancun CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#387ATP
1455ELO
1402Hard ELO
25 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 August 2025
hard
#116ATP
1757ELO
1630Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Zhukayev B.
7-6 6-4
Llamas Ruiz P.
Zhukayev B.
7762
Llamas Ruiz P.
6440

Beibit Zhukayev defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 7-6 6-4 in the Cancun CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #116.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhukayev B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Zhukayev B.

Serve advantage — Llamas Ruiz P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
88
Break points won·Dominant
1
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
25
79
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
63
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1402
Surface ELO
7.5+229 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1455
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Llamas Ruiz P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast