Alexander Shevchenko vs Shintaro MochizukiSumter CH Semi-final

Sumter CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 12 August 2025
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Shevchenko A.
4-6 6-1 6-1
Mochizuki S.
Shevchenko A.
4662
Mochizuki S.
6111

Alexander Shevchenko defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 4-6 6-1 6-1 in the Sumter CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Shevchenko came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alexander Shevchenko extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQ1clayAlexander Shevchenko6-7(2) 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shevchenko A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Serve advantage — Mochizuki S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shevchenko A.Mochizuki S.
27
Serve
11
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
74
Break points won·Slight edge
60
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+217 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1425
7.2Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1475
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
77

Shevchenko A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mochizuki S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast