Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex RybakovSumter CH Round of 32

Sumter CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 August 2025
hard
#432ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Mochizuki S.
7-5 7-6
Rybakov A.
Mochizuki S.
7772
Rybakov A.
5620

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Alex Rybakov 7-5 7-6 in the Sumter CH round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Rybakov A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
15
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
84
Break points won·Dominant
55
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+115 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1310
7.0Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1352
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
5.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
82

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Rybakov A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast