Dalibor Svrcina vs Jesper De JongCancun CH Quarter-final

Cancun CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#114ATP
1640ELO
1624Hard ELO
$300kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 12 August 2025
hard
#73ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
Svrcina D.
7-5 6-2
De Jong J.
Svrcina D.
762
De Jong J.
520

Dalibor Svrcina defeated Jesper De Jong 7-5 6-2 in the Cancun CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jesper De Jong came in ranked #73.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Svrcina D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Svrcina D.

Serve advantage — Svrcina D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Svrcina D.De Jong J.
Serve
23
Return
17

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (99 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
56
Break points saved·Dominant
44
90
Break points won·Dominant
90
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
27
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
30
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.9+17 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1607
5.5Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
5.5
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
78

Svrcina D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · De Jong J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast