Rafael Jodar vs Luca PotenzaHersonissos 3 CH Round of 32

Hersonissos 3 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#25ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 August 2025
hard
#451ATP
1342ELO
1317Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
Jodar R.
7-6 6-4
Potenza L.
Jodar R.
7762
Potenza L.
6340

Rafael Jodar defeated Luca Potenza 7-6 6-4 in the Hersonissos 3 CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Potenza L.

Potenza L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Potenza L.
18
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
2
Break points saved·Dominant
91
34
Break points won·Dominant
71
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
38
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+555 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1317
10.0Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1342
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
3.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
85

Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Potenza L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast