Nao Hibino vs Claire Liu — W50 Saskatoon Round of 16

W50 Saskatoon · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Nao Hibino
JPN
Nao Hibino
#235WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 August 2025
hard
Claire Liu
USA
Claire Liu
#111WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWWL
Hibino N.
6-2 6-3
Liu C.
Hibino N.
662
Liu C.
23–

Nao Hibino defeated Claire Liu 6-2 6-3 in the W50 Saskatoon round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Claire Liu came in ranked #111.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hibino N.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Liu C.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Hibino N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Hibino N.Liu C.
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hibino N.Liu C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
61
Break points saved·Dominant
39
64
Break points won·Clear edge
91
78
Deciding sets·Clear edge
66
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hibino N.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Liu C.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1523
Surface ELO
6.1+112 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1669
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.6
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hibino N.Liu C.
Freshness·Clear edge
89
75

Hibino N.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Liu C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Sakatsume H.
Todoni A.
7-616-3
Semi-finals
Todoni A.
Imamura S.
6-37-5
Sakatsume H.
Ewing S.
6-36-0
Quarter-finals
Sakatsume H.
Giavara H.
4-66-16-3
Ewing S.
Lacasse R.
6-44-67-5
Todoni A.
Sebov K.
4-66-37-5
R16
Lacasse R.
Gadecki O.
6-5
Hibino N.
Liu C.
6-26-3
Todoni A.
Sieg M.
6-06-4
Sebov K.
Chavez T.
5-76-16-2
Giavara H.
Usui K.
6-43-66-3
Imamura S.
Plekhanova D.
6-766-06-3
Ewing S.
Chang H.
6-37-5
Sakatsume H.
Kupres M.
6-36-1
R32
Sieg M.
Hitt Z.
6-16-2
Sakatsume H.
Pitts Clark A.
6-26-1
Giavara H.
Marton I.
6-36-1
Todoni A.
Nicholson S.
6-46-2
Plekhanova D.
Liu K.
3-66-36-3
Gadecki O.
Mikaul G.
6-06-0
Chang H.
Vakalapudi S.
6-16-1
Sebov K.
Alexander A.
6-16-1
Chavez T.
Monteleone G.
6-16-1
Usui K.
Burrage J.
7-56-4
Hibino N.
Smith R.
7-56-4
Liu C.
Vagramov A.
6-26-3
Kupres M.
Fernandez B.
6-46-4