Colton Smith vs Tristan SchoolkateCincinnati Masters Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#186ATP
1577ELO
1566Hard ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#149ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$246kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
Smith C.
6-4 6-4
Schoolkate T.
Smith C.
662
Schoolkate T.
440

Colton Smith defeated Tristan Schoolkate 6-4 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tristan Schoolkate came in ranked #149.

Key context

  • Match story: Colton Smith edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Schoolkate T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Smith C.Schoolkate T.
Serve
38
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
9.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
46
Break points saved·Even
94
90
Break points won·Dominant
52
0
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7+51 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.3Hard Elo 1514
4.1Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
7.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
8.3
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
64

Smith C.: 16 days rest · Schoolkate T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%