Roman Safiullin vs Alejandro TabiloCincinnati Masters Round of 128

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Safiullin R.
6-3 6-3
Tabilo A.
Safiullin R.
662
Tabilo A.
330

Roman Safiullin defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-3 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #33, defending last year's round of 64. Roman Safiullin extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR64clayRoman Safiullin6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Tabilo A.
Serve
51
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Even
5.8
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (54 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
68
74
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Clear edge
44
59
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 66 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1819
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
5.8
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
97

Safiullin R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%