Arthur Rinderknech vs Casper RuudCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Rinderknech A.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Ruud C.
Rinderknech A.
65662
Ruud C.
77421

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Casper Ruud 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 32. Arthur Rinderknech claimed a first win over Casper Ruud in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-3 6-4
2025-02-24AcapulcoR32hardCasper Ruud6-4 6-3
2023-05-08Rome MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-4 6-0
2021-07-26KitzbuhelSFclayCasper Ruud6-3 7-6(7)

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rinderknech A.Ruud C.
50
Serve
59
1
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
37%
Break points saved·Even
68%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
6.3+141 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1983
0.0
H2H
10.0
1.6
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.2
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
97

Rinderknech A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%