Reilly Opelka vs Alex De Minaur — Cincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
Alex De Minaur
AUS6
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Opelka R.
7-6 6-4
De Minaur A.
Opelka R.
7862
De Minaur A.
6640

Reilly Opelka defeated Alex De Minaur 7-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Reilly Opelka claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR32grassAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4
2019-10-21BaselSFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(2) 6-7(4) 7-6(3)
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-6(3) 6-4
2019-07-22AtlantaSFhardAlex De Minaur7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-3
2019-01-07SydneyR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.De Minaur A.
86
Serve
48
0
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.De Minaur A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Clear edge
28%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.De Minaur A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Opelka R.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
De Minaur A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1734
Surface ELO
7.5+202 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
8.5
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
6.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.7
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.De Minaur A.
Freshness·
—
77

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[1]
5-0
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Atmane T.
7-646-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
6-06-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Rublev A.[9]
6-34-67-5
Atmane T.
Rune H.[7]
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Shelton B.[5]
6-26-2
R16
Zverev A.[3]
Khachanov K.[14]
7-53-0
Rune H.[7]
Tiafoe F.[10]
6-43-1
Shelton B.[5]
Lehecka J.[22]
6-46-4
Rublev A.[9]
Comesana F.
6-26-3
Atmane T.
Fritz T.[4]
3-67-56-3
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Bonzi B.
6-46-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Nardi L.
6-16-4
Sinner J.[1]
Mannarino A.
6-47-64
R32
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Rinderknech A.
7-644-2
Nardi L.
Mensik J.[16]
6-22-1
Lehecka J.[22]
Walton A.
7-657-63
Rune H.[7]
Michelsen A.[28]
7-646-3
Fritz T.[4]
Sonego L.[31]
7-647-5
Atmane T.
Fonseca J.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[9]
Popyrin A.[21]
6-757-657-5
Comesana F.
Opelka R.
6-746-47-5
Mannarino A.
Paul T.[13]
5-76-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Nakashima B.[27]
6-46-4
Bonzi B.
Tsitsipas S.[25]
6-746-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Diallo G.[30]
6-27-66
Khachanov K.[14]
Brooksby J.
6-36-3
Tiafoe F.[10]
Humbert U.[20]
6-46-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Medjedovic H.
6-46-4
Shelton B.[5]
Bautista Agut R.
7-636-3
R64
Fonseca J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[17]
6-745-4
Sinner J.[1]
Galan D.
6-16-1
Shelton B.[5]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-33-1
Comesana F.
Darderi L.[29]
6-43-1
Popyrin A.[21]
Landaluce M.
7-636-3
Atmane T.
Cobolli F.[15]
6-43-67-65
Rinderknech A.
Ruud C.[11]
6-756-46-2
Nakashima B.[27]
Blockx A.
4-66-37-65
Humbert U.[20]
Wong C.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[16]
Quinn E.
6-46-2
Lehecka J.[22]
Boyer T.
4-66-16-4
Rublev A.[9]
Tien L.
7-646-3
Michelsen A.[28]
Moutet C.
3-66-36-4
Mannarino A.
Machac T.[19]
6-36-3
Sonego L.[31]
Bergs Z.
6-37-64
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Etcheverry T.
6-27-63
Diallo G.[30]
Baez S.
7-56-4
Bautista Agut R.
Norrie C.[32]
6-46-3
Bonzi B.
Musetti L.[8]
5-76-47-64
Paul T.[13]
Martinez P.
6-26-2
Walton A.
Medvedev D.[12]
6-706-46-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-12-66-3
Tiafoe F.[10]
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-3
Fritz T.[4]
Nava E.
6-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[25]
Marozsan F.
7-636-2
Medjedovic H.
Griekspoor T.[26]
6-47-63
Nardi L.
Shapovalov D.[24]
6-756-36-4
Brooksby J.
Cazaux A.
7-56-1
Opelka R.
De Minaur A.[6]
7-666-4
Khachanov K.[14]
Royer V.
6-47-66
Rune H.[7]
Safiullin R.
7-57-65
Zverev A.[3]
Basavareddy N.
6-36-3
R128
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
7-677-65
Bautista Agut R.
Altmaier D.
7-657-61
Brooksby J.
Muller A.
7-625-76-1
Bergs Z.
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Fonseca J.
Yunchaokete B.
4-66-27-5
Rinderknech A.
Borges N.
6-36-3
Medjedovic H.
Kovacevic A.
6-26-3
Carballes Baena R.
Gaston H.
6-45-76-3
Mannarino A.
Thompson J.
6-26-2
Blockx A.
Giron M.
6-23-66-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Nishikori K.
7-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Shang J.
6-757-646-4
Safiullin R.
Tabilo A.
6-36-3
Moutet C.
Mcdonald M.
7-56-3
Landaluce M.
Kypson P.
3-66-36-2
Boyer T.
Holt B.
6-37-63
Comesana F.
Munar J.
6-46-4
Atmane T.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-2
Tien L.
Riedi L.
6-36-4
Walton A.
Navone M.
4-67-636-1
Bonzi B.
Arnaldi M.
6-716-36-4
Galan D.
Kopriva V.
6-26-4
Basavareddy N.
Vukic A.
7-657-5
Marozsan F.
Smith C.
6-14-66-4
Opelka R.
Dellien H.
7-57-63
Nava E.
Coric B.
6-37-5
Quinn E.
Kecmanovic M.
7-656-4
Martinez P.
Jarry N.
1-66-46-3
Baez S.
Goffin D.
6-16-3
Royer V.
Ofner S.
5-76-36-3
Nardi L.
Tirante T.
6-47-65
Wong C.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-36-2