Holger Rune vs Alex Michelsen — Cincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Holger Rune
DEN7
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
Alex Michelsen
USA28
Alex Michelsen
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWLWW
Rune H.
7-6 6-3
Michelsen A.
Rune H.
7762
Michelsen A.
6430

Holger Rune defeated Alex Michelsen 7-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Michelsen A.
47
Serve
34
58
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Michelsen A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Michelsen A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
78
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
84
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Michelsen A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
5.7+86 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1825
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
5.3
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
5.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.6
Country comfort
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Michelsen A.
Freshness·
—
67

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[1]
5-0
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Atmane T.
7-646-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
6-06-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Rublev A.[9]
6-34-67-5
Atmane T.
Rune H.[7]
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Shelton B.[5]
6-26-2
R16
Zverev A.[3]
Khachanov K.[14]
7-53-0
Rune H.[7]
Tiafoe F.[10]
6-43-1
Shelton B.[5]
Lehecka J.[22]
6-46-4
Rublev A.[9]
Comesana F.
6-26-3
Atmane T.
Fritz T.[4]
3-67-56-3
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Bonzi B.
6-46-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Nardi L.
6-16-4
Sinner J.[1]
Mannarino A.
6-47-64
R32
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Rinderknech A.
7-644-2
Nardi L.
Mensik J.[16]
6-22-1
Lehecka J.[22]
Walton A.
7-657-63
Rune H.[7]
Michelsen A.[28]
7-646-3
Fritz T.[4]
Sonego L.[31]
7-647-5
Atmane T.
Fonseca J.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[9]
Popyrin A.[21]
6-757-657-5
Comesana F.
Opelka R.
6-746-47-5
Mannarino A.
Paul T.[13]
5-76-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Nakashima B.[27]
6-46-4
Bonzi B.
Tsitsipas S.[25]
6-746-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Diallo G.[30]
6-27-66
Khachanov K.[14]
Brooksby J.
6-36-3
Tiafoe F.[10]
Humbert U.[20]
6-46-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Medjedovic H.
6-46-4
Shelton B.[5]
Bautista Agut R.
7-636-3
R64
Fonseca J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[17]
6-745-4
Sinner J.[1]
Galan D.
6-16-1
Shelton B.[5]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-33-1
Comesana F.
Darderi L.[29]
6-43-1
Popyrin A.[21]
Landaluce M.
7-636-3
Atmane T.
Cobolli F.[15]
6-43-67-65
Rinderknech A.
Ruud C.[11]
6-756-46-2
Nakashima B.[27]
Blockx A.
4-66-37-65
Humbert U.[20]
Wong C.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[16]
Quinn E.
6-46-2
Lehecka J.[22]
Boyer T.
4-66-16-4
Rublev A.[9]
Tien L.
7-646-3
Michelsen A.[28]
Moutet C.
3-66-36-4
Mannarino A.
Machac T.[19]
6-36-3
Sonego L.[31]
Bergs Z.
6-37-64
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Etcheverry T.
6-27-63
Diallo G.[30]
Baez S.
7-56-4
Bautista Agut R.
Norrie C.[32]
6-46-3
Bonzi B.
Musetti L.[8]
5-76-47-64
Paul T.[13]
Martinez P.
6-26-2
Walton A.
Medvedev D.[12]
6-706-46-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-12-66-3
Tiafoe F.[10]
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-3
Fritz T.[4]
Nava E.
6-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[25]
Marozsan F.
7-636-2
Medjedovic H.
Griekspoor T.[26]
6-47-63
Nardi L.
Shapovalov D.[24]
6-756-36-4
Brooksby J.
Cazaux A.
7-56-1
Opelka R.
De Minaur A.[6]
7-666-4
Khachanov K.[14]
Royer V.
6-47-66
Rune H.[7]
Safiullin R.
7-57-65
Zverev A.[3]
Basavareddy N.
6-36-3
R128
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
7-677-65
Bautista Agut R.
Altmaier D.
7-657-61
Brooksby J.
Muller A.
7-625-76-1
Bergs Z.
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Fonseca J.
Yunchaokete B.
4-66-27-5
Rinderknech A.
Borges N.
6-36-3
Medjedovic H.
Kovacevic A.
6-26-3
Carballes Baena R.
Gaston H.
6-45-76-3
Mannarino A.
Thompson J.
6-26-2
Blockx A.
Giron M.
6-23-66-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Nishikori K.
7-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Shang J.
6-757-646-4
Safiullin R.
Tabilo A.
6-36-3
Moutet C.
Mcdonald M.
7-56-3
Landaluce M.
Kypson P.
3-66-36-2
Boyer T.
Holt B.
6-37-63
Comesana F.
Munar J.
6-46-4
Atmane T.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-2
Tien L.
Riedi L.
6-36-4
Walton A.
Navone M.
4-67-636-1
Bonzi B.
Arnaldi M.
6-716-36-4
Galan D.
Kopriva V.
6-26-4
Basavareddy N.
Vukic A.
7-657-5
Marozsan F.
Smith C.
6-14-66-4
Opelka R.
Dellien H.
7-57-63
Nava E.
Coric B.
6-37-5
Quinn E.
Kecmanovic M.
7-656-4
Martinez P.
Jarry N.
1-66-46-3
Baez S.
Goffin D.
6-16-3
Royer V.
Ofner S.
5-76-36-3
Nardi L.
Tirante T.
6-47-65
Wong C.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-36-2