Alex Michelsen vs Corentin MoutetCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#39ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Michelsen A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Moutet C.
Michelsen A.
3662
Moutet C.
6341

Alex Michelsen defeated Corentin Moutet 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Corentin Moutet came in ranked #39, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Corentin Moutet in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13AlmatySFhardCorentin Moutet7-5 6-4
2025-06-22MallorcaSFgrassCorentin Moutet6-4 7-6(3)
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersQ1clayCorentin Moutet6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Moutet C.
34
Serve
7
46
Return
68

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
82
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Dominant
46
75
Deciding sets·Even
91
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+83 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1727
5.1Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
67
94

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Moutet C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%