Magda Linette vs Jessica Pegula — Cincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
Magda Linette
POL31
Magda Linette
#59WTA
1831ELO
1780Hard ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
Jessica Pegula
USA4
Jessica Pegula
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Linette M.
7-6 3-6 6-3
Pegula J.
Linette M.
77362
Pegula J.
65631

Magda Linette defeated Jessica Pegula 7-6 3-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's final. Magda Linette claimed a first win over Jessica Pegula in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Magda Linette closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR64hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-2
2024-04-01CharlestonR16clayJessica Pegula6-2 6-2
2023-03-20MiamiR16hardJessica Pegula6-1 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Linette M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Linette M.Pegula J.
26
Serve
68
10
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Linette M.Pegula J.
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Linette M.Pegula J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
96
Break points won·Clear edge
75
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Linette M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Pegula J.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.4Hard Elo 1780
Surface ELO
8.6+278 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 2097
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.8
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.6
Country comfort
8.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Linette M.Pegula J.
Freshness·Clear edge
98
76

Linette M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Paolini J.[7]
7-56-4
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[9]
7-56-3
Paolini J.[7]
Kudermetova V.
6-36-726-3
Quarter-finals
Paolini J.[7]
Gauff C.[2]
2-66-46-3
Kudermetova V.
Gracheva V.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.[9]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-16-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-36-4
R16
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Alexandrova E.[12]
3-67-656-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-17-5
Paolini J.[7]
Krejcikova B.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.[9]
Keys M.[6]
6-736-46-2
Gracheva V.
Seidel E.
2-66-16-1
Kudermetova V.
Linette M.[31]
6-46-3
Gauff C.[2]
Bronzetti L.
6-26-4
R32
Gauff C.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
W/O
Swiatek I.[3]
Kostyuk M.[25]
W/O
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Townsend T.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-634-67-65
Keys M.[6]
Ito A.
6-46-0
Cirstea S.
Yuan Y.
6-726-46-4
Alexandrova E.[12]
Joint M.
6-46-3
Seidel E.
Kessler M.[29]
6-42-67-66
Kudermetova V.
Tauson C.[16]
3-67-646-4
Linette M.[31]
Pegula J.[4]
7-653-66-3
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Anisimova A.[5]
7-56-4
Gracheva V.
Muchova K.[11]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[9]
Mertens E.[19]
4-66-37-5
Paolini J.[7]
Krueger A.[26]
7-626-1
Krejcikova B.
Jovic I.
6-43-66-2
Bronzetti L.
Ostapenko J.[23]
1-66-36-4
R64
Alexandrova E.[12]
Sun L.
6-46-2
Joint M.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-44-66-4
Mertens E.[19]
Ngounoue C.
3-67-637-5
Paolini J.[7]
Sakkari M.
7-627-65
Ostapenko J.[23]
Osorio C.
W/O
Muchova K.[11]
Garcia C.
7-637-60
Anisimova A.[5]
Jeanjean L.
W/O
Gracheva V.
Kenin S.[24]
6-776-36-3
Kessler M.[29]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
Seidel E.
Navarro E.[8]
6-41-66-4
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Stearns P.
7-644-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Vondrousova M.
7-56-1
Yastremska D.[32]
Tomova V.
6-42-66-2
Tauson C.[16]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-756-4
Linette M.[31]
Sramkova R.
7-646-0
Kostyuk M.[25]
Maria T.
6-06-1
Gauff C.[2]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Kudermetova V.
Bencic B.[17]
6-47-60
Pegula J.[4]
Birrell K.
6-46-3
Townsend T.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-26-4
Jovic I.
Noskova L.[20]
6-36-0
Krueger A.[26]
Sevastova A.
6-40-66-3
Bronzetti L.
Kasatkina D.[15]
6-31-66-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Danilovic O.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Fernandez L.[21]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Zarazua R.
4-66-07-5
Ito A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-14-66-4
Keys M.[6]
Lys E.
1-66-37-61
Swiatek I.[3]
Potapova A.
6-16-4
Cirstea S.
Frech M.[22]
7-642-66-4
Yuan Y.
Shnaider D.[14]
6-41-66-3
Krejcikova B.
Svitolina E.[10]
2-66-46-3
R128
Sramkova R.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-61
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-46-3
Garcia C.
Kartal S.
5-76-46-3
Zarazua R.
Putintseva Y.
3-66-46-2
Maria T.
Osuigwe W.
6-26-3
Ngounoue C.
Baptiste H.
6-14-66-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Williams V.
6-46-4
Bronzetti L.
Zhu L.
6-766-27-66
Townsend T.
Collins D.
6-47-62
Lys E.
Pera B.
6-24-67-5
Gracheva V.
Volynets K.
6-43-66-3
Wang X.
Arango E.
7-616-3
Tomova V.
Li A.
6-47-5
Osorio C.
Uchijima M.
7-51-66-4
Krejcikova B.
Parks A.
6-44-66-0
Jovic I.
Sierra S.
6-37-64
Sevastova A.
Bektas E.
6-46-766-1
Sakkari M.
Rakhimova K.
6-33-66-2
Birrell K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
Kudermetova V.
Lamens S.
6-16-3
Tomljanovic A.
Bondar A.
7-606-4
Mcnally C.
Inglis M.
6-26-3
Seidel E.
Kudermetova P.
1-66-36-2
Jeanjean L.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-51-66-4
Joint M.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Sun L.
Ruzic A.
6-46-4
Yuan Y.
Bucsa C.
6-26-2
Cirstea S.
Vekic D.
6-14-66-3
Potapova A.
Siegemund L.
6-46-4
Ito A.
Ruse E.
6-27-66
Danilovic O.
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Vondrousova M.
Cristian J.
6-36-1