Ella Seidel vs Varvara LepchenkoCincinnati Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#100WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#175WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
Seidel E.
6-2 6-1
Lepchenko V.
Seidel E.
662
Lepchenko V.
21

Ella Seidel defeated Varvara Lepchenko 6-2 6-1 in the Cincinnati qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ella Seidel came in ranked #100.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Seidel E.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Lepchenko V.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Seidel E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Seidel E.Lepchenko V.
20
Serve
9
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
47
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
64
Break points won·Slight edge
70
65
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1559
5.8Overall Elo 1616
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1578
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
72

Seidel E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lepchenko V.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast