Jasmine Paolini vs Ashlyn Krueger — Cincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
Jasmine Paolini
ITA7
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
USA26
Ashlyn Krueger
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Paolini J.
7-6 6-1
Krueger A.
Paolini J.
7762
Krueger A.
6210

Jasmine Paolini defeated Ashlyn Krueger 7-6 6-1 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Jasmine Paolini came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Serve advantage — Paolini J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Krueger A.
31
Serve
37
55
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Krueger A.
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Krueger A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
79
Break points saved·Even
87
87
Break points won·Clear edge
99
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Krueger A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+149 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1723
7.6Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.5
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Krueger A.
Freshness·Slight edge
76
86

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Krueger A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Paolini J.[7]
7-56-4
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[9]
7-56-3
Paolini J.[7]
Kudermetova V.
6-36-726-3
Quarter-finals
Paolini J.[7]
Gauff C.[2]
2-66-46-3
Kudermetova V.
Gracheva V.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.[9]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-16-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-36-4
R16
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Alexandrova E.[12]
3-67-656-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-17-5
Paolini J.[7]
Krejcikova B.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.[9]
Keys M.[6]
6-736-46-2
Gracheva V.
Seidel E.
2-66-16-1
Kudermetova V.
Linette M.[31]
6-46-3
Gauff C.[2]
Bronzetti L.
6-26-4
R32
Gauff C.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
W/O
Swiatek I.[3]
Kostyuk M.[25]
W/O
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Townsend T.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-634-67-65
Keys M.[6]
Ito A.
6-46-0
Cirstea S.
Yuan Y.
6-726-46-4
Alexandrova E.[12]
Joint M.
6-46-3
Seidel E.
Kessler M.[29]
6-42-67-66
Kudermetova V.
Tauson C.[16]
3-67-646-4
Linette M.[31]
Pegula J.[4]
7-653-66-3
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Anisimova A.[5]
7-56-4
Gracheva V.
Muchova K.[11]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[9]
Mertens E.[19]
4-66-37-5
Paolini J.[7]
Krueger A.[26]
7-626-1
Krejcikova B.
Jovic I.
6-43-66-2
Bronzetti L.
Ostapenko J.[23]
1-66-36-4
R64
Alexandrova E.[12]
Sun L.
6-46-2
Joint M.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-44-66-4
Mertens E.[19]
Ngounoue C.
3-67-637-5
Paolini J.[7]
Sakkari M.
7-627-65
Ostapenko J.[23]
Osorio C.
W/O
Muchova K.[11]
Garcia C.
7-637-60
Anisimova A.[5]
Jeanjean L.
W/O
Gracheva V.
Kenin S.[24]
6-776-36-3
Kessler M.[29]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
Seidel E.
Navarro E.[8]
6-41-66-4
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Stearns P.
7-644-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Vondrousova M.
7-56-1
Yastremska D.[32]
Tomova V.
6-42-66-2
Tauson C.[16]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-756-4
Linette M.[31]
Sramkova R.
7-646-0
Kostyuk M.[25]
Maria T.
6-06-1
Gauff C.[2]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Kudermetova V.
Bencic B.[17]
6-47-60
Pegula J.[4]
Birrell K.
6-46-3
Townsend T.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-26-4
Jovic I.
Noskova L.[20]
6-36-0
Krueger A.[26]
Sevastova A.
6-40-66-3
Bronzetti L.
Kasatkina D.[15]
6-31-66-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Danilovic O.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Fernandez L.[21]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Zarazua R.
4-66-07-5
Ito A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-14-66-4
Keys M.[6]
Lys E.
1-66-37-61
Swiatek I.[3]
Potapova A.
6-16-4
Cirstea S.
Frech M.[22]
7-642-66-4
Yuan Y.
Shnaider D.[14]
6-41-66-3
Krejcikova B.
Svitolina E.[10]
2-66-46-3
R128
Sramkova R.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-61
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-46-3
Garcia C.
Kartal S.
5-76-46-3
Zarazua R.
Putintseva Y.
3-66-46-2
Maria T.
Osuigwe W.
6-26-3
Ngounoue C.
Baptiste H.
6-14-66-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Williams V.
6-46-4
Bronzetti L.
Zhu L.
6-766-27-66
Townsend T.
Collins D.
6-47-62
Lys E.
Pera B.
6-24-67-5
Gracheva V.
Volynets K.
6-43-66-3
Wang X.
Arango E.
7-616-3
Tomova V.
Li A.
6-47-5
Osorio C.
Uchijima M.
7-51-66-4
Krejcikova B.
Parks A.
6-44-66-0
Jovic I.
Sierra S.
6-37-64
Sevastova A.
Bektas E.
6-46-766-1
Sakkari M.
Rakhimova K.
6-33-66-2
Birrell K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
Kudermetova V.
Lamens S.
6-16-3
Tomljanovic A.
Bondar A.
7-606-4
Mcnally C.
Inglis M.
6-26-3
Seidel E.
Kudermetova P.
1-66-36-2
Jeanjean L.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-51-66-4
Joint M.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Sun L.
Ruzic A.
6-46-4
Yuan Y.
Bucsa C.
6-26-2
Cirstea S.
Vekic D.
6-14-66-3
Potapova A.
Siegemund L.
6-46-4
Ito A.
Ruse E.
6-27-66
Danilovic O.
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Vondrousova M.
Cristian J.
6-36-1