Varvara Gracheva vs Sofia KeninCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Gracheva V.
6-7 6-3 6-3
Kenin S.
Gracheva V.
67662
Kenin S.
79331

Varvara Gracheva defeated Sofia Kenin 6-7 6-3 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88, defending last year's round of 32. Varvara Gracheva claimed a first win over Sofia Kenin in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128claySofia Kenin6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Kenin S.
3
Serve
13
27
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
92
Break points won·Even
87
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
54
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1659
5.8Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
5.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.1
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Kenin S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw