Varvara Gracheva vs Iva JovicCincinnati Qualifying Round 2

Cincinnati · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#16WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.4MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Gracheva V.
6-3 6-4
Jovic I.
Gracheva V.
662
Jovic I.
34

Varvara Gracheva defeated Iva Jovic 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iva Jovic came in ranked #16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Jovic I.

Jovic I.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Jovic I.
3
Serve
40
27
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
95
Break points won·Slight edge
87
98
Deciding sets·Even
90
92
Tiebreaks·
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1763
Surface ELO
5.7+84 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1906
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
6.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Jovic I.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast