Leandro Riedi vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Cincinnati Masters Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
Leandro Riedi
SUI
Leandro Riedi
#117ATP
1693ELO
1675Hard ELO
$193kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP4
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Riedi L.
7-6 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Riedi L.
7762
Carreno Busta P.
6340

Leandro Riedi defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Riedi L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Riedi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Riedi L.Carreno Busta P.
—
Serve
21
—
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Riedi L.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Riedi L.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
78
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Dominant
14
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
80
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Riedi L.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
Carreno Busta P.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1675
Surface ELO
5.4+69 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
7.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Riedi L.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·
—
90

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%
Q2
Nava E.[15]
Navone M.[2]
7-56-4
Atmane T.[23]
Tu L.
7-56-3
Blockx A.[18]
Nardi L.[6]
6-46-3
Galan D.[24]
Shevchenko A.[8]
7-664-1
Wong C.
Mochizuki S.[19]
7-656-3
Riedi L.
Harris L.
7-676-3
Smith C.
Basilashvili N.[13]
7-56-1
Kypson P.
Vukic A.[7]
7-637-64
Landaluce M.
Fery A.
6-26-756-2
Tirante T.[22]
Cazaux A.[1]
7-676-3
Royer V.[12]
Draxl L.[14]
2-66-36-4
Mannarino A.[5]
Svrcina D.[17]
6-36-4
Q1
Shevchenko A.[8]
Zink T.
7-626-786-3
Fery A.
Svajda Z.
7-634-67-64
Svrcina D.[17]
Watanuki Y.
6-26-0
Navone M.[2]
Struff J.
6-726-26-4
Tirante T.[22]
Trotter J.
6-23-66-3
Smith C.
Schoolkate T.[9]
6-46-4
Vukic A.[7]
Cassone M.
7-56-737-64
Mannarino A.[5]
Krueger M.
6-16-1
Draxl L.[14]
Martin A.
6-37-63
Blockx A.[18]
Kachmazov A.
4-2
Cazaux A.[1]
Lajal M.
4-66-16-2
Royer V.[12]
Ficovich J.
6-16-2
Wong C.
Cerundolo J.[3]
6-26-3
Basilashvili N.[13]
Eubanks C.
6-44-67-62
Nardi L.[6]
Mayo A.
6-36-2
Harris L.
Spizzirri E.[20]
7-654-67-62
Tu L.
Duckworth J.[10]
7-646-4
Mochizuki S.[19]
Bagnis F.
3-66-36-4
Nava E.[15]
Kukushkin M.
7-56-2
Galan D.[24]
Daniel T.
7-56-2
Atmane T.[23]
Jasika O.
7-56-4
Kypson P.
Gigante M.[21]
6-36-2
Landaluce M.
Garin C.[16]
6-43-67-65
Riedi L.
Carreno Busta P.[4]
7-636-4