Shintaro Mochizuki vs Facundo BagnisCincinnati Masters Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#439ATP
1591ELO
1513Hard ELO
36 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
Mochizuki S.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Bagnis F.
Mochizuki S.
3662
Bagnis F.
6341

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Facundo Bagnis 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #151, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Shintaro Mochizuki extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQ3clayShintaro Mochizuki6-4 2-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bagnis F.

Bagnis F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
52
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
92
Break points won·Clear edge
55
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
3

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1425
Surface ELO
5.9+88 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1591
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
5.5
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
6.1
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

Mochizuki S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%