Frances Tiafoe vs Roberto Carballes BaenaCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Tiafoe F.
6-4 6-3
Carballes Baena R.
Tiafoe F.
662
Carballes Baena R.
430

Frances Tiafoe defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, defending last year's final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Carballes Baena R.
38
Serve
37
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Even
57
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.2+269 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1592
8.3Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1632
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
3.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
7.7
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.3
Country comfort
3.9
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
100

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%