Benjamin Bonzi vs Matteo ArnaldiCincinnati Masters Round of 128

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#93ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Bonzi B.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Bonzi B.
61662
Arnaldi M.
77341

Benjamin Bonzi defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bonzi B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bonzi B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.
27
Serve
23
32
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
78
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Clear edge
27
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
86
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4Hard Elo 1713
Surface ELO
4.6+19 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1830
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
94

Bonzi B.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%