Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir DzumhurCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#105ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-1 2-6 6-3
Dzumhur D.
Alcaraz C.
6262
Dzumhur D.
1631

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Damir Dzumhur 6-1 2-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz closed it out in three sets, 6–1 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Dzumhur D.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Dzumhur D.
74
Serve
2
95
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
70
Break points saved·Clear edge
100
87
Break points won·Dominant
99
64
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+493 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1596
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1638
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
9.0
6.7
Country comfort
4.5
7.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Dzumhur D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%