Bernard Tomic vs Eliot SpizzirriLexington CH Semi-final

Lexington CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#204ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 July 2025
hard
#97ATP
1796ELO
1765Hard ELO
$385kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWWW
Tomic B.
6-3 2-6 7-6
Spizzirri E.
Tomic B.
62772
Spizzirri E.
36631

Bernard Tomic defeated Eliot Spizzirri 6-3 2-6 7-6 in the Lexington CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Eliot Spizzirri came in ranked #97.

Key context

  • Match story: Bernard Tomic closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tomic B.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Spizzirri E.

Spizzirri E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Serve advantage — Spizzirri E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomic B.Spizzirri E.
Serve
54
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 98). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
68
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
81
Break points won·Dominant
4
34
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO
8.8+324 Hard Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 1796
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
3.9
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
75

Tomic B.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast