Alex Molcan vs Mikael YmerLiberec CH Qualifying Round 2

Liberec CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 July 2025
clay
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLW
Molcan A.
1-6 6-1 6-3
Ymer M.
Molcan A.
1662
Ymer M.
6131

Alex Molcan defeated Mikael Ymer 1-6 6-1 6-3 in the Liberec CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mikael Ymer came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Alex Molcan had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 5 on clay. Alex Molcan claimed a first win over Mikael Ymer in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassMikael Ymer6-3 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Molcan A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ymer M.

Ymer M.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
71
Break points saved·Even
90
90
Break points won·Slight edge
61
71
Deciding sets·Even
91
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Molcan A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast