Xinyu Gao vs Tamara KorpatschWarsaw 125 Round of 32

Warsaw 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#239WTA
1504ELO
1492Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 July 2025
hard
#75WTA
1668ELO
1600Hard ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWL
Gao X.
7-6 6-4
Korpatsch T.
Gao X.
7762
Korpatsch T.
644

Xinyu Gao defeated Tamara Korpatsch 7-6 6-4 in the Warsaw 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tamara Korpatsch came in ranked #75.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gao X.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Korpatsch T.

Korpatsch T.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Gao X.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
31
42
Break points saved·Dominant
43
13
Break points won·Even
88
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
33
73
Tiebreaks·
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1492
Surface ELO
5.9+108 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1668
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
7.2
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Korpatsch T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast