Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana — W75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Kayla Day
#137WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 July 2025
hard
USA
Mary Stoiana
#130WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Day K.
6-4 6-3
Stoiana M.
Day K.
662
Stoiana M.
43–

Kayla Day defeated Mary Stoiana 6-4 6-3 in the W75 Lexington round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mary Stoiana came in ranked #130.

Key context

  • Match story: Kayla Day closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Day K.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Stoiana M.

Stoiana M.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Day K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Day K.Stoiana M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Day K.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Stoiana M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1567
5.2Overall Elo 1595
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1656
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Day K.Stoiana M.
Freshness·Dominant
95
59

Day K.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Stoiana M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Wang X.
Tjen J.
3-66-26-4
Semi-finals
Tjen J.
Crawley F.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Lepchenko V.
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Lepchenko V.
Ma L.
6-26-2
Wang X.
Hu V.
6-46-0
Crawley F.
Day K.
6-46-2
Tjen J.
Ponchet J.
6-46-2
R16
Hu V.
Osuigwe V.
6-36-3
Lepchenko V.
Imamura S.
6-37-5
Ponchet J.
Ma Y.
6-13-65-3
Crawley F.
Zakharova A.
6-25-76-1
Wang X.
Akli A.
7-623-65-1
Tjen J.
Inoue H.
6-46-1
Day K.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-6
R32
Akli A.
Yamalapalli S.
6-46-2
Tjen J.
Chang H.
7-54-67-62
Day K.
Stoiana M.
6-46-3
Ma Y.
Rogers A.
6-41-66-0
Imamura S.
Smith A.
4-66-36-4
Osuigwe V.
Daavettila S.
6-37-62
Crawley F.
Cayetano E.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Kalieva E.
6-46-0
Ma L.
Jones M.
6-06-3
Sakatsume H.
Pigossi L.
6-36-1
Zakharova A.
Honer A.
2-66-36-1
Inoue H.
Anderson R.
6-44-0
Lepchenko V.
Arconada U.
6-46-4
Ngounoue C.
Hammond Z.
7-665-76-2
Ponchet J.
Yamaguchi M.
6-46-3
Hu V.
Scott K.
1-67-56-1