Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Ricardas Berankis — Astana CH Quarter-final

Astana CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
NOR2
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#121ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 July 2025
hard
LTU8
Ricardas Berankis
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWLL
Budkov Kjaer N.
7-6 6-4
Berankis R.
Budkov Kjaer N.
7762
Berankis R.
6440

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Ricardas Berankis 7-6 6-4 in the Astana CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ricardas Berankis came in defending last year's round of 32, but Nicolai Budkov Kjaer had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Berankis R.

Berankis R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.Berankis R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
68%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Budkov Kjaer N.Berankis R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
58
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
91
Break points won·Clear edge
39
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
80
Tiebreaks·Even
81
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Budkov Kjaer N.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Berankis R.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
4.8
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
6.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Budkov Kjaer N.Berankis R.
Freshness·
100
—

Budkov Kjaer N.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Budkov Kjaer N.[2]
Binda A.
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Binda A.
Shelbayh A.[7]
7-664-67-5
Budkov Kjaer N.[2]
Imai S.
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Shelbayh A.[7]
Chidekh C.[1]
3-66-36-4
Imai S.
Bakshi A.
2-66-46-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[2]
Berankis R.[8]
7-646-4
Binda A.
Singh K.
6-46-4
R16
Shelbayh A.[7]
Shin W.
4-66-30-0
Chidekh C.[1]
Leong M.
7-616-4
Binda A.
Pieczkowski O.
6-25-76-4
Bakshi A.
Mukund S.
7-643-66-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[2]
Jones M.
6-36-0
Berankis R.[8]
Castelnuovo L.
7-624-66-4
Imai S.
Winter E.
7-646-3
Singh K.
Gakhov I.[3]
6-37-67
R32
Binda A.
Bar Biryukov P.[6]
6-32-1
Chidekh C.[1]
Sin S.
6-36-4
Winter E.
Bouzige M.[5]
6-16-3
Imai S.
Omarkhanov A.
6-27-64
Bakshi A.
Isomura K.
6-16-726-3
Mukund S.
Purtseladze S.[4]
6-46-4
Berankis R.[8]
Nurlanuly Z.
6-26-2
Leong M.
Shin M.
7-56-2
Singh K.
Gerasimov E.
7-56-1
Shin W.
Azkara A.
6-37-5
Budkov Kjaer N.[2]
Kumasaka T.
6-36-4
Pieczkowski O.
Palan D.
7-627-5
Gakhov I.[3]
Arutiunian E.
6-16-747-5
Shelbayh A.[7]
Zhukov M.
6-36-4
Jones M.
Tokuda R.
6-36-3
Castelnuovo L.
Park U.
7-636-3