Yosuke Watanuki vs Dalibor SvrcinaCanada Masters Qualifying Round 1

Canada Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#114ATP
1640ELO
1624Hard ELO
$300kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Watanuki Y.
7-6 1-6 6-4
Svrcina D.
Watanuki Y.
77162
Svrcina D.
62641

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Dalibor Svrcina 7-6 1-6 6-4 in the Canada Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Dalibor Svrcina came in ranked #114, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Yosuke Watanuki claimed a first win over Dalibor Svrcina in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Yosuke Watanuki closed it out in three sets, 7–6 1–6 6–4.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersQ2hardDalibor Svrcina6-4 6-0
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersQ1hardDalibor Svrcina6-2 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Svrcina D.

Svrcina D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Serve advantage — Svrcina D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 100). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
52
34
Break points saved·Dominant
89
44
Break points won·Dominant
20
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
6.0+94 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1640
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
8.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
9.4
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
84

Watanuki Y.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Svrcina D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%