Anastasija Sevastova vs Ajla Tomljanovic — Montreal Round of 128

Montreal · WTA · Round of 128
Anastasija Sevastova
LAT
Anastasija Sevastova
#286WTA
1719ELO
1664Hard ELO
36 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
Ajla Tomljanovic
AUS
Ajla Tomljanovic
#94WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Sevastova A.
6-3 3-6 6-4
Tomljanovic A.
Sevastova A.
6362
Tomljanovic A.
3641

Anastasija Sevastova defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 3-6 6-4 in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ajla Tomljanovic came in ranked #94. Anastasija Sevastova extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardAjla Tomljanovic6-1 6-1
2019-06-17MallorcaR16grassAnastasija Sevastova6-2 6-1
2018-06-18MallorcaQFgrassAnastasija Sevastova3-6 6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sevastova A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sevastova A.

Serve advantage — Tomljanovic A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sevastova A.Tomljanovic A.
—
Serve
26
—
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sevastova A.Tomljanovic A.
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sevastova A.Tomljanovic A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
71
Break points saved·Even
73
73
Break points won·Even
89
92
Deciding sets·Even
74
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
64
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sevastova A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Tomljanovic A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1664
Surface ELO
5.8+58 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sevastova A.Tomljanovic A.
Freshness·
—
96

Tomljanovic A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw

Final
Mboko V.
Osaka N.
2-66-46-1
Semi-finals
Osaka N.
Tauson C.[16]
6-27-67
Mboko V.
Rybakina E.[9]
1-67-57-64
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[9]
Kostyuk M.[24]
6-12-1
Tauson C.[16]
Keys M.[6]
6-16-4
Mboko V.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-2
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[10]
6-26-2
R16
Keys M.[6]
Muchova K.[11]
4-66-37-5
Mboko V.
Gauff C.[1]
6-16-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Zhu L.
7-51-66-2
Tauson C.[16]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-616-3
Osaka N.
Sevastova A.
6-16-0
Svitolina E.[10]
Anisimova A.[5]
6-46-1
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kessler M.[28]
5-76-36-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Yastremska D.[30]
5-76-27-5
R32
Zhu L.
Lamens S.
6-26-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Ito A.
4-67-56-3
Yastremska D.[30]
Navarro E.[8]
7-56-4
Muchova K.[11]
Bencic B.[17]
6-726-26-3
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kasatkina D.[15]
3-66-37-64
Swiatek I.[2]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Tauson C.[16]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-0
Sevastova A.
Pegula J.[3]
3-66-46-1
Svitolina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
6-16-1
Mboko V.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-36-0
Keys M.[6]
Mcnally C.
2-66-36-3
Anisimova A.[5]
Raducanu E.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[1]
Kudermetova V.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-26-4
Kessler M.[28]
Andreeva M.[4]
7-656-4
Rybakina E.[9]
Cristian J.
6-07-65
R64
Navarro E.[8]
Marino R.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Sramkova R.[31]
6-26-2
Muchova K.[11]
Ruzic A.
7-57-5
Raducanu E.
Stearns P.[32]
6-26-4
Sevastova A.
Linette M.[25]
6-34-66-4
Andreeva M.[4]
Andreescu B.
W/O
Kudermetova V.
Danilovic O.[29]
6-46-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Guo H.
6-36-1
Gauff C.[1]
Collins D.
7-54-67-62
Ostapenko J.[22]
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-2
Ito A.
Paolini J.[7]
2-67-57-65
Rybakina E.[9]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Zhu L.
Alexandrova E.[12]
1-66-26-4
Kessler M.[28]
Joint M.
4-66-46-3
Cristian J.
Noskova L.[20]
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[15]
Blinkova A.
6-16-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Vondrousova M.
2-66-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Krueger A.[26]
6-46-4
Lamens S.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-21-66-3
Bouzkova M.
Shnaider D.[14]
6-27-65
Mboko V.
Kenin S.[23]
6-26-3
Lys E.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Frech M.[21]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[17]
Bouchard E.
6-23-66-4
Keys M.[6]
Siegemund L.
6-26-1
Pegula J.[3]
Sakkari M.
7-56-4
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[13]
4-67-666-3
Svitolina E.[10]
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[19]
1-67-646-2
Anisimova A.[5]
Sun L.
6-47-65
Yastremska D.[30]
Osorio C.
3-67-656-2
R128
Zhu L.
Gracheva V.
6-47-63
Marino R.
Jacquemot E.
7-626-1
Sun L.
Cirstea S.
6-37-5
Raducanu E.
Ruse E.
6-26-4
Kalinskaya A.
Li A.
7-660-66-3
Rakhimova K.
Cross K.
4-66-36-2
Osaka N.
Arseneault A.
6-46-2
Andreescu B.
Krejcikova B.
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Wang Y.
6-766-46-4
Zarazua R.
Boulter K.
6-17-5
Lamens S.
Kudermetova P.
6-34-66-2
Mcnally C.
Parks A.
6-45-77-67
Joint M.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Ruzic A.
Potapova A.
2-67-56-0
Osorio C.
Pera B.
6-37-5
Sevastova A.
Tomljanovic A.
6-33-66-4
Sakkari M.
Branstine C.
6-23-67-5
Siegemund L.
Maria T.
7-56-767-62
Bouchard E.
Arango E.
6-42-66-2
Bronzetti L.
Mandlik E.
4-67-656-2
Lys E.
Jeanjean L.
6-16-4
Cristian J.
Stakusic M.
2-66-26-2
Baptiste H.
Osuigwe W.
7-56-1
Blinkova A.
Dolehide C.
6-46-1
Vondrousova M.
Eala A.
3-66-16-2
Ito A.
Volynets K.
6-22-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Chirico L.
5-77-56-4
Bouzkova M.
Uchijima M.
6-27-64
Mboko V.
Birrell K.
7-56-3
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
5-76-27-5
Collins D.
Tomova V.
6-37-5
Guo H.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3