Jelena Ostapenko vs Renata ZarazuaMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · WTA · Round of 64
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#75WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLL
Ostapenko J.
6-2 4-6 6-2
Zarazua R.
Ostapenko J.
6462
Zarazua R.
2621

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Renata Zarazua 6-2 4-6 6-2 in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Zarazua R.
10
Serve
22
45
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
51
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
57
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.5+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1639
6.5Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1663
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
2.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
98

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zarazua R.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw