Naomi Osaka vs Jelena Ostapenko — Montreal Round of 32

Montreal · WTA · Round of 32
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT22
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Osaka N.
6-2 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Osaka N.
662
Ostapenko J.
240

Naomi Osaka defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-4 in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Naomi Osaka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-2
2016-05-23Roland GarrosR128clayNaomi Osaka6-4 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Ostapenko J.
70
Serve
10
60
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Osaka N.Ostapenko J.
1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Osaka N.Ostapenko J.
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
79
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Osaka N.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Ostapenko J.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.5+127 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1794
6.5Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Osaka N.Ostapenko J.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
91

Osaka N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw

Final
Mboko V.
Osaka N.
2-66-46-1
Semi-finals
Osaka N.
Tauson C.[16]
6-27-67
Mboko V.
Rybakina E.[9]
1-67-57-64
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[9]
Kostyuk M.[24]
6-12-1
Tauson C.[16]
Keys M.[6]
6-16-4
Mboko V.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-2
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[10]
6-26-2
R16
Keys M.[6]
Muchova K.[11]
4-66-37-5
Mboko V.
Gauff C.[1]
6-16-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Zhu L.
7-51-66-2
Tauson C.[16]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-616-3
Osaka N.
Sevastova A.
6-16-0
Svitolina E.[10]
Anisimova A.[5]
6-46-1
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kessler M.[28]
5-76-36-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Yastremska D.[30]
5-76-27-5
R32
Zhu L.
Lamens S.
6-26-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Ito A.
4-67-56-3
Yastremska D.[30]
Navarro E.[8]
7-56-4
Muchova K.[11]
Bencic B.[17]
6-726-26-3
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kasatkina D.[15]
3-66-37-64
Swiatek I.[2]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Tauson C.[16]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-0
Sevastova A.
Pegula J.[3]
3-66-46-1
Svitolina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
6-16-1
Mboko V.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-36-0
Keys M.[6]
Mcnally C.
2-66-36-3
Anisimova A.[5]
Raducanu E.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[1]
Kudermetova V.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-26-4
Kessler M.[28]
Andreeva M.[4]
7-656-4
Rybakina E.[9]
Cristian J.
6-07-65
R64
Navarro E.[8]
Marino R.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Sramkova R.[31]
6-26-2
Muchova K.[11]
Ruzic A.
7-57-5
Raducanu E.
Stearns P.[32]
6-26-4
Sevastova A.
Linette M.[25]
6-34-66-4
Andreeva M.[4]
Andreescu B.
W/O
Kudermetova V.
Danilovic O.[29]
6-46-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Guo H.
6-36-1
Gauff C.[1]
Collins D.
7-54-67-62
Ostapenko J.[22]
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-2
Ito A.
Paolini J.[7]
2-67-57-65
Rybakina E.[9]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Zhu L.
Alexandrova E.[12]
1-66-26-4
Kessler M.[28]
Joint M.
4-66-46-3
Cristian J.
Noskova L.[20]
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[15]
Blinkova A.
6-16-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Vondrousova M.
2-66-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Krueger A.[26]
6-46-4
Lamens S.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-21-66-3
Bouzkova M.
Shnaider D.[14]
6-27-65
Mboko V.
Kenin S.[23]
6-26-3
Lys E.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Frech M.[21]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[17]
Bouchard E.
6-23-66-4
Keys M.[6]
Siegemund L.
6-26-1
Pegula J.[3]
Sakkari M.
7-56-4
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[13]
4-67-666-3
Svitolina E.[10]
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[19]
1-67-646-2
Anisimova A.[5]
Sun L.
6-47-65
Yastremska D.[30]
Osorio C.
3-67-656-2
R128
Zhu L.
Gracheva V.
6-47-63
Marino R.
Jacquemot E.
7-626-1
Sun L.
Cirstea S.
6-37-5
Raducanu E.
Ruse E.
6-26-4
Kalinskaya A.
Li A.
7-660-66-3
Rakhimova K.
Cross K.
4-66-36-2
Osaka N.
Arseneault A.
6-46-2
Andreescu B.
Krejcikova B.
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Wang Y.
6-766-46-4
Zarazua R.
Boulter K.
6-17-5
Lamens S.
Kudermetova P.
6-34-66-2
Mcnally C.
Parks A.
6-45-77-67
Joint M.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Ruzic A.
Potapova A.
2-67-56-0
Osorio C.
Pera B.
6-37-5
Sevastova A.
Tomljanovic A.
6-33-66-4
Sakkari M.
Branstine C.
6-23-67-5
Siegemund L.
Maria T.
7-56-767-62
Bouchard E.
Arango E.
6-42-66-2
Bronzetti L.
Mandlik E.
4-67-656-2
Lys E.
Jeanjean L.
6-16-4
Cristian J.
Stakusic M.
2-66-26-2
Baptiste H.
Osuigwe W.
7-56-1
Blinkova A.
Dolehide C.
6-46-1
Vondrousova M.
Eala A.
3-66-16-2
Ito A.
Volynets K.
6-22-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Chirico L.
5-77-56-4
Bouzkova M.
Uchijima M.
6-27-64
Mboko V.
Birrell K.
7-56-3
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
5-76-27-5
Collins D.
Tomova V.
6-37-5
Guo H.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3