Holger Rune vs Alexandre MullerCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Rune H.
6-2 6-4
Muller A.
Rune H.
662
Muller A.
240

Holger Rune defeated Alexandre Muller 6-2 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve advantage — Rune H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Muller A.
47
Serve
11
58
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
84
44
Deciding sets·Even
98
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+94 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1630
5.9Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
2.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Muller A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%