Ben Shelton vs Alex De MinaurCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#5ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Shelton B.
6-3 6-4
De Minaur A.
Shelton B.
662
De Minaur A.
340

Ben Shelton defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-4 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #5, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Ben Shelton closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shelton B.De Minaur A.
75
Serve
48
18
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
58
97
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1922
Surface ELO
5.2+14 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1961
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
8.6
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
3.3
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
77

Shelton B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%