Alex Michelsen vs Lorenzo Musetti — Canada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Alex Michelsen
USA26
Alex Michelsen
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA3
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Michelsen A.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Musetti L.
Michelsen A.
37762
Musetti L.
66441

Alex Michelsen defeated Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 7-6 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve advantage — Musetti L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Musetti L.
34
Serve
54
46
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Michelsen A.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.4
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Michelsen A.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
46
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Michelsen A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8+7 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
6.2Hard Elo 1804
3.2Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1869
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Michelsen A.Musetti L.
Freshness·
67
—

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%
Final
Shelton B.[4]
Khachanov K.[11]
6-756-47-63
Semi-finals
Khachanov K.[11]
Zverev A.[1]
6-34-67-64
Shelton B.[4]
Fritz T.[2]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[2]
Rublev A.[6]
6-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Popyrin A.[18]
6-786-46-3
Khachanov K.[11]
Michelsen A.[26]
6-47-63
R16
Fritz T.[2]
Lehecka J.[19]
7-646-757-65
De Minaur A.[9]
Tiafoe F.[7]
6-24-66-4
Zverev A.[1]
Cerundolo F.[14]
6-41-0
Rublev A.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
6-737-623-0
Khachanov K.[11]
Ruud C.[8]
6-47-5
Shelton B.[4]
Cobolli F.[13]
6-44-67-61
Michelsen A.[26]
Tien L.
6-36-3
Popyrin A.[18]
Rune H.[5]
4-66-26-3
R32
Cerundolo F.[14]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.
Oconnell C.
W/O
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Mensik J.[12]
6-26-4
Khachanov K.[11]
Nava E.
6-766-46-1
Rune H.[5]
Muller A.[29]
6-26-4
Michelsen A.[26]
Musetti L.[3]
3-67-646-4
Ruud C.[8]
Borges N.[30]
7-56-4
Tiafoe F.[7]
Vukic A.
6-34-66-3
Popyrin A.[18]
Medvedev D.[10]
5-76-46-4
Rublev A.[6]
Sonego L.[28]
5-76-46-3
Zverev A.[1]
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-756-36-2
Shelton B.[4]
Nakashima B.[25]
6-786-27-65
Tien L.
Opelka R.
7-636-3
Cobolli F.[13]
Marozsan F.
6-24-66-3
Lehecka J.[19]
Fils A.[15]
3-66-36-4
Fritz T.[2]
Diallo G.[27]
6-46-2
R64
Muller A.[29]
Kecmanovic M.
2-66-37-5
Khachanov K.[11]
Ficovich J.
6-46-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Moutet C.
6-46-3
Michelsen A.[26]
Barrios Vera T.
7-676-3
Vukic A.
Norrie C.[31]
6-36-726-3
Nakashima B.[25]
Quinn E.
7-666-4
Rune H.[5]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-676-3
Medvedev D.[10]
Svrcina D.
7-636-4
Nava E.
Atmane T.
6-27-5
Marozsan F.
Auger Aliassime F.[21]
6-46-4
Musetti L.[3]
Duckworth J.
7-56-1
Tien L.
Shapovalov D.[22]
7-647-5
Lehecka J.[19]
Mcdonald M.
7-626-4
Fils A.[15]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-4
Shelton B.[4]
Mannarino A.
6-26-3
Etcheverry T.
Griekspoor T.[24]
6-47-64
Oconnell C.
Tsitsipas S.[23]
6-44-66-2
Popyrin A.[18]
Arseneault N.
7-676-3
Zverev A.[1]
Walton A.
7-666-4
Mensik J.[12]
Boyer T.
6-46-4
Tiafoe F.[7]
Watanuki Y.
1-67-57-65
Cobolli F.[13]
Galarneau A.
6-45-76-4
Fritz T.[2]
Carballes Baena R.
7-57-61
Sonego L.[28]
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Comesana F.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-33-66-3
Ruud C.[8]
Safiullin R.
6-36-3
Diallo G.[27]
Gigante M.
6-37-65
Cerundolo F.[14]
Munar J.
7-644-66-4
Borges N.[30]
Bagnis F.
5-77-636-2
Rublev A.[6]
Gaston H.
6-26-3
Opelka R.
Machac T.[16]
7-656-756-3
R128
Carballes Baena R.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-44-1
Gaston H.
Bellucci M.
3-66-42-0
Ficovich J.
Fearnley J.
6-26-3
Moutet C.
Brooksby J.
6-26-1
Nava E.
Bergs Z.
6-17-64
Yunchaokete B.
Kopriva V.
7-646-2
Galarneau A.
Rinderknech A.
7-626-3
Walton A.
Bonzi B.
4-66-06-3
Etcheverry T.
Herbert P.
6-44-67-5
Munar J.
Martin D.
6-36-0
Bagnis F.
Pospisil V.
6-23-66-3
Opelka R.
Ofner S.
7-667-5
Kecmanovic M.
Halys Q.
4-66-47-5
Barrios Vera T.
Monfils G.
6-44-67-63
Watanuki Y.
Altmaier D.
3-66-16-4
Gigante M.
Coric B.
4-66-27-62
Schoolkate T.
Fonseca J.
7-656-4
Marozsan F.
Dellien H.
6-26-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Mochizuki S.
6-46-2
Boyer T.
Kovacevic A.
7-57-63
Mannarino A.
Giron M.
6-46-4
Quinn E.
Nishioka Y.
7-616-2
Safiullin R.
Blanchet U.
4-66-27-69
Carreno Busta P.
Draxl L.
2-66-46-4
Duckworth J.
Shang J.
6-37-63
Comesana F.
Dzumhur D.
6-37-5
Tien L.
Smith C.
6-47-5
Mcdonald M.
Goffin D.
6-46-4
Svrcina D.
Blockx A.
6-46-2
Arseneault N.
Royer V.
6-37-64
Vukic A.
Martinez P.
7-56-3
Oconnell C.
Tseng C.
6-16-2