Colton Smith vs Patrick Kypson — Canada Masters Qualifying Round 1

Canada Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
USA13
Colton Smith
#181ATP
1577ELO
1566Hard ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
Patrick Kypson
USA23
Patrick Kypson
#112ATP
1641ELO
1611Hard ELO
$260kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
Smith C.
6-1 7-5
Kypson P.
Smith C.
672
Kypson P.
150

Colton Smith defeated Patrick Kypson 6-1 7-5 in the Canada Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Patrick Kypson came in ranked #112.

Key context

  • Match story: Colton Smith came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kypson P.

Kypson P.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Smith C.Kypson P.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
7.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Smith C.Kypson P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
42
Break points saved·Even
94
93
Break points won·Slight edge
52
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Smith C.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Kypson P.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1566
Surface ELO
6.3+46 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1641
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
5.9
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Smith C.Kypson P.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Smith C.: 18 days rest · Kypson P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%