Karen Khachanov vs Alexander ZverevCanada Masters Semi-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Khachanov K.
6-3 4-6 7-6
Zverev A.
Khachanov K.
64772
Zverev A.
36641

Karen Khachanov defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3 4-6 7-6 in the Canada Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Karen Khachanov narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Karen Khachanov closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 7–6.

Head to head

26
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev7-5 3-0 RET
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-2
2024-03-18Miami MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-1 6-4
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsFhardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-1
2019-08-05Canada MastersQFhardKaren Khachanov6-3 6-3
2018-10-29Paris MastersQFhardKaren Khachanov6-1 6-2
2018-05-28Roland GarrosR16clayAlexander Zverev4-6 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3 6-3
2016-09-19St. PetersburgR32carpetAlexander Zverev7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Zverev A.
61
Serve
71
39
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
7.4
7.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
94
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
81
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
8.1+259 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2100
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.0
Prev. match
0.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
77
45

Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%
Semi-finals
Khachanov K.[11]
Zverev A.[1]
6-34-67-64
Shelton B.[4]
Fritz T.[2]
6-46-3