Karen Khachanov vs Casper RuudCanada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Khachanov K.
6-4 7-5
Ruud C.
Khachanov K.
672
Ruud C.
450

Karen Khachanov defeated Casper Ruud 6-4 7-5 in the Canada Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Karen Khachanov claimed a first win over Casper Ruud in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-13Rome MastersQFclayCasper Ruud6-1 1-6 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenSFhardCasper Ruud7-6(5) 6-2 5-7 6-2
2020-09-14Rome MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-3 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Ruud C.
61
Serve
59
39
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.3
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
81
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
6.0+106 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1983
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
7.0
2.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
97

Khachanov K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%