Madison Keys vs Caty Mcnally — Montreal Round of 32

Montreal · WTA · Round of 32
Madison Keys
USA6
Madison Keys
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
Caty Mcnally
USA
Caty Mcnally
#57WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Keys M.
2-6 6-3 6-3
Mcnally C.
Keys M.
2662
Mcnally C.
6331

Madison Keys defeated Caty Mcnally 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Mcnally C.
36
Serve
26
29
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Keys M.Mcnally C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Keys M.Mcnally C.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
73
Break points won·Slight edge
90
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Mcnally C.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+189 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1731
7.0Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Keys M.Mcnally C.
Freshness·Clear edge
84
96

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw

Final
Mboko V.
Osaka N.
2-66-46-1
Semi-finals
Osaka N.
Tauson C.[16]
6-27-67
Mboko V.
Rybakina E.[9]
1-67-57-64
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[9]
Kostyuk M.[24]
6-12-1
Tauson C.[16]
Keys M.[6]
6-16-4
Mboko V.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-2
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[10]
6-26-2
R16
Keys M.[6]
Muchova K.[11]
4-66-37-5
Mboko V.
Gauff C.[1]
6-16-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Zhu L.
7-51-66-2
Tauson C.[16]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-616-3
Osaka N.
Sevastova A.
6-16-0
Svitolina E.[10]
Anisimova A.[5]
6-46-1
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kessler M.[28]
5-76-36-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Yastremska D.[30]
5-76-27-5
R32
Zhu L.
Lamens S.
6-26-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Ito A.
4-67-56-3
Yastremska D.[30]
Navarro E.[8]
7-56-4
Muchova K.[11]
Bencic B.[17]
6-726-26-3
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kasatkina D.[15]
3-66-37-64
Swiatek I.[2]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Tauson C.[16]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-0
Sevastova A.
Pegula J.[3]
3-66-46-1
Svitolina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
6-16-1
Mboko V.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-36-0
Keys M.[6]
Mcnally C.
2-66-36-3
Anisimova A.[5]
Raducanu E.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[1]
Kudermetova V.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-26-4
Kessler M.[28]
Andreeva M.[4]
7-656-4
Rybakina E.[9]
Cristian J.
6-07-65
R64
Navarro E.[8]
Marino R.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Sramkova R.[31]
6-26-2
Muchova K.[11]
Ruzic A.
7-57-5
Raducanu E.
Stearns P.[32]
6-26-4
Sevastova A.
Linette M.[25]
6-34-66-4
Andreeva M.[4]
Andreescu B.
W/O
Kudermetova V.
Danilovic O.[29]
6-46-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Guo H.
6-36-1
Gauff C.[1]
Collins D.
7-54-67-62
Ostapenko J.[22]
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-2
Ito A.
Paolini J.[7]
2-67-57-65
Rybakina E.[9]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Zhu L.
Alexandrova E.[12]
1-66-26-4
Kessler M.[28]
Joint M.
4-66-46-3
Cristian J.
Noskova L.[20]
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[15]
Blinkova A.
6-16-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Vondrousova M.
2-66-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Krueger A.[26]
6-46-4
Lamens S.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-21-66-3
Bouzkova M.
Shnaider D.[14]
6-27-65
Mboko V.
Kenin S.[23]
6-26-3
Lys E.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Frech M.[21]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[17]
Bouchard E.
6-23-66-4
Keys M.[6]
Siegemund L.
6-26-1
Pegula J.[3]
Sakkari M.
7-56-4
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[13]
4-67-666-3
Svitolina E.[10]
Rakhimova K.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[19]
1-67-646-2
Anisimova A.[5]
Sun L.
6-47-65
Yastremska D.[30]
Osorio C.
3-67-656-2
R128
Zhu L.
Gracheva V.
6-47-63
Marino R.
Jacquemot E.
7-626-1
Sun L.
Cirstea S.
6-37-5
Raducanu E.
Ruse E.
6-26-4
Kalinskaya A.
Li A.
7-660-66-3
Rakhimova K.
Cross K.
4-66-36-2
Osaka N.
Arseneault A.
6-46-2
Andreescu B.
Krejcikova B.
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Wang Y.
6-766-46-4
Zarazua R.
Boulter K.
6-17-5
Lamens S.
Kudermetova P.
6-34-66-2
Mcnally C.
Parks A.
6-45-77-67
Joint M.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Ruzic A.
Potapova A.
2-67-56-0
Osorio C.
Pera B.
6-37-5
Sevastova A.
Tomljanovic A.
6-33-66-4
Sakkari M.
Branstine C.
6-23-67-5
Siegemund L.
Maria T.
7-56-767-62
Bouchard E.
Arango E.
6-42-66-2
Bronzetti L.
Mandlik E.
4-67-656-2
Lys E.
Jeanjean L.
6-16-4
Cristian J.
Stakusic M.
2-66-26-2
Baptiste H.
Osuigwe W.
7-56-1
Blinkova A.
Dolehide C.
6-46-1
Vondrousova M.
Eala A.
3-66-16-2
Ito A.
Volynets K.
6-22-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Chirico L.
5-77-56-4
Bouzkova M.
Uchijima M.
6-27-64
Mboko V.
Birrell K.
7-56-3
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
5-76-27-5
Collins D.
Tomova V.
6-37-5
Guo H.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3