Marta Kostyuk vs Mccartney KesslerMontreal Round of 16

Montreal · WTA · Round of 16
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#46WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$545kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Kostyuk M.
5-7 6-3 6-3
Kessler M.
Kostyuk M.
5662
Kessler M.
7331

Marta Kostyuk defeated Mccartney Kessler 5-7 6-3 6-3 in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Marta Kostyuk extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardMarta Kostyuk6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Kessler M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Serve advantage — Kostyuk M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kostyuk M.Kessler M.
53
Serve
27
57
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
84
Break points saved·Even
93
91
Break points won·Even
98
95
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+183 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1785
7.4Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1808
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
5.5
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
98

Kostyuk M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Kessler M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw