Alexis Galarneau vs Arthur RinderknechCanada Masters Round of 128

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#179ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$166kYTD
$825kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
Galarneau A.
7-6 6-3
Rinderknech A.
Galarneau A.
7762
Rinderknech A.
6230

Alexis Galarneau defeated Arthur Rinderknech 7-6 6-3 in the Canada Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Rinderknech came in ranked #28, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Galarneau A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Rinderknech A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Galarneau A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Galarneau A.Rinderknech A.
Serve
50
Return
1

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
9.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
58
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
99
Break points won·Slight edge
16
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
22
91
Tiebreaks·Even
61
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1548
Surface ELO
7.6+199 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1593
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1780
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
1.7
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.2
Minutes 14d
3.5
0.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.0
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
48
83

Galarneau A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Rinderknech A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%