Elena Rybakina vs Hailey BaptisteMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · WTA · Round of 64
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#30WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Rybakina E.
6-4 6-3
Baptiste H.
Rybakina E.
662
Baptiste H.
430

Elena Rybakina defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-4 6-3 in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR64hardElena Rybakina7-6(5) 2-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baptiste H.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Baptiste H.
100
Serve
40
34
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
83
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Clear edge
96
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.5+330 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.5Hard Elo 1781
9.2Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw