Yosuke Watanuki vs Daniel AltmaierCanada Masters Round of 128

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#294ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#61ATP
1734ELO
1652Hard ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
Watanuki Y.
3-6 6-1 6-4
Altmaier D.
Watanuki Y.
3662
Altmaier D.
6141

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Daniel Altmaier 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Altmaier came in ranked #61.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Altmaier D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Watanuki Y.Altmaier D.
Serve
17
Return
4

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
52
71
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
96
Break points won·Clear edge
20
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
92
Tiebreaks·Even
81
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
5.8+121 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1734
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
3.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
93

Watanuki Y.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Altmaier D.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%