Ben Shelton vs Frances TiafoeWashington Quarter-final

Washington · ATP · Quarter-final
#5ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Shelton B.
7-6 6-4
Tiafoe F.
Shelton B.
7762
Tiafoe F.
6240

Ben Shelton defeated Frances Tiafoe 7-6 6-4 in the Washington quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's semi-final. Ben Shelton extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 7-5 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3
2024-04-01HoustonFclayBen Shelton7-5 4-6 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardBen Shelton6-2 3-6 7-6(7) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shelton B.Tiafoe F.
75
Serve
38
18
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.1
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
86
83
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
58
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Even
97
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+60 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1861
6.1Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.6
Country comfort
7.3
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
76

Shelton B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%